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d3-chain-reaction {ctfepi}sealed case file

Chain Reaction

Case D3, Prior EngagementsBayesian Analysisscene 4hard400 pts

Case

Vale wants the Board to borrow strength from earlier trials, and Kastner wants to know what the priors are doing.

What this scene will ask

Supplied draws from four chains for 12 parameters.

Planned flag: sorted names of parameters with rank normalized split R-hat above 1.01; the largest R-hat, 3 dp; the smallest bulk ESS, rounded to the nearest 100.

Status

[#] Sealed. This scene opens when it is written and passes review. Nothing on CTFEpi expires, so there is no rush.