Beta Testing

Case

Vale wants the Board to borrow strength from earlier trials, and Kastner wants to know what the priors are doing.

What this scene will ask

Beta-binomial update of a stated prior.

Planned flag: posterior mean, 3 dp; posterior probability that risk exceeds a threshold, 3 dp; upper 95 percent equal tailed credible limit, 3 dp.

Status

[#] Sealed. This scene opens when it is written and passes review. Nothing on CTFEpi expires, so there is no rush.