d3-bayes-factor-bingo {ctfepi}sealed case file
Bayes Factor Bingo
Case D3, Prior EngagementsBayesian Analysisscene 3medium200 pts
Case
Vale wants the Board to borrow strength from earlier trials, and Kastner wants to know what the priors are doing.
What this scene will ask
Prior odds, a reported Bayes factor, and a diagnostic test.
Planned flag: posterior odds, 2 dp; posterior probability*, 3 dp; PPV of the test at the stated prevalence, 3 dp; NPV, 3 dp.
Status
[#] Sealed. This scene opens when it is written and passes review. Nothing on CTFEpi expires, so there is no rush.